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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
ML

Atalanta
0 - 2
AC Milan


Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
42.33%23.67%34%
Both teams to score 62.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19%39.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84%62.17%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22%50.78%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.11%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 42.33%
    AC Milan 34%
    Draw 23.67%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34%

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