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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
ML

Sampdoria
0 - 1
AC Milan


Gabbiadini (33'), Murru (89'), Bereszynski (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (9')
Kjaer (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
30.98%24.3%44.71%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1%43.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72%66.28%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21%19.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16%51.84%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 30.98%
    AC Milan 44.71%
    Draw 24.3%
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.42%
1-0 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 4.96%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.71%

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