With only three goals between them so far, neither side has been able to replicate last season's form in the final third, so one moment of magic - or madness - could decide the outcome. Vincenzo Italiano's greater experience at the top level could see Cesc Fabregas and co defeated again, leaving cash-rich Como rock-bottom of Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Como	Draw	Bologna
32.09% ( 0.08)	28.02% ( -0.01)	39.9% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.22% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.27% (

0.06)

58.73% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

0.05)

79.26% (

-0.05)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

0.09)

33.72% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.62% (

0.09)

70.38% (

-0.09)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.01)

28.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-0.01)

64.6% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Como 32.08%

Bologna 39.89%

Draw 28.01%

Como	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.08%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.89%