SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
56.29% ( -0.24) | 23.67% ( 0.1) | 20.03% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( -0.22) | 50.44% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( -0.2) | 72.37% ( 0.2) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.26% ( -0.17) | 17.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.58% ( -0.29) | 48.42% ( 0.3) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.42% ( 0.02) | 39.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( 0.02) | 76.26% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.28% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.03% |
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