SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 3-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Bournemouth |
73.61% ( 0.04) | 15.25% ( -0.03) | 11.15% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.49% ( 0.12) | 29.5% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.41% ( 0.15) | 50.59% ( -0.14) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.12% ( 0.04) | 6.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.72% ( 0.09) | 25.28% ( -0.09) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.07) | 38.04% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( 0.07) | 74.81% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.26% Total : 73.61% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.25% | 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 11.15% |
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