Empoli have not won successive Serie A matches since May 2023 - in that case, one win was against Bologna - and that trend may continue this weekend.
Nonetheless, the Azzurri will be emboldened by their result against Roma, and leaving the Dall'Ara with a point is well within their compass.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.55%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.08) 
0.04) 
