SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
13.23% ( 1.8) | 16.52% ( 1.51) | 70.25% ( -3.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.73% ( -2.83) | 30.26% ( 2.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.49% ( -3.48) | 51.51% ( 3.47) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( 0.66) | 35.4% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( 0.68) | 72.16% ( -0.69) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.28% ( -1.3) | 7.71% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.52% ( -3.45) | 27.48% ( 3.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.17% Total : 13.23% | 1-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.3)0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 16.52% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 7.95% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 7.66% ( -0.34)0-1 @ 7% ( 0.64)1-4 @ 5.09% ( -0.5)0-4 @ 4.9% ( -0.58)2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.21)1-5 @ 2.61% ( -0.47)0-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.5)2-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.21)1-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.29)0-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.31)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 70.25% |
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