SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
21.58% ( -0.29) | 23.73% ( 0.62) | 54.69% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( -2.97) | 48.81% ( 2.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( -2.76) | 70.91% ( 2.75) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -1.95) | 37.06% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% ( -1.99) | 73.84% ( 1.98) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( -1.21) | 17.73% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.6% ( -2.12) | 48.39% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.58% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.92) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.43)1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.68% |
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