Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
