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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
LL

Freiburg
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Hofler (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nkunku (41'), Sorloth (64'), Forsberg (79')
Hee-chan (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
15.35%18.77%65.88%
Both teams to score 56.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.5%36.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.35%58.65%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.32%36.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53%73.47%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.66%10.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.2%33.8%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 15.35%
    RB Leipzig 65.88%
    Draw 18.77%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.33%
1-0 @ 3.8%
2-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.35%
1-1 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.91%
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.77%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.77%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 7.41%
0-3 @ 7.39%
1-4 @ 4.2%
0-4 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.72%
2-4 @ 2.11%
1-5 @ 1.91%
0-5 @ 1.9%
2-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 65.88%

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