SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 15.35% | 18.77% | 65.88% |
| Both teams to score 56.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.35% | 58.65% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% | 36.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.53% | 73.47% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% | 10.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.2% | 33.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 4.33% 1-0 @ 3.8% 2-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.23% Total : 15.35% | 1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 3.79% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.77% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 7.41% 0-3 @ 7.39% 1-4 @ 4.2% 0-4 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.72% 2-4 @ 2.11% 1-5 @ 1.91% 0-5 @ 1.9% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.93% Total : 65.88% |
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