Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
