SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Rangers |
48.58% ( 0.03) | 22.78% ( -0.02) | 28.63% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.92% ( 0.07) | 38.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.65% ( 0.07) | 60.34% ( -0.08) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0.03) | 15.99% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( 0.07) | 45.3% ( -0.07) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.03) | 25.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.03) | 60.47% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.63% |
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