SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
21.95% ( 1.34) | 22.38% ( 0.45) | 55.67% ( -1.78) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.3) | 42.56% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.29) | 64.96% ( 0.3) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 1.1) | 33.2% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( 1.2) | 69.81% ( -1.19) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( -0.68) | 15.16% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.24% ( -1.3) | 43.75% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67% |
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