SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Napoli |
31.09% ( 0.19) | 26.13% ( -0.08) | 42.77% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( 0.4) | 51.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 0.35) | 73.55% ( -0.35) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.34) | 30.85% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( 0.39) | 67.13% ( -0.39) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( 0.13) | 24.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( 0.18) | 58.29% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.77% |
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