SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana.
| Result | ||
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Valmiera |
46.14% ( 0.79) | 24.47% ( -0.16) | 29.39% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( 0.4) | 45.42% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( 0.38) | 67.75% ( -0.39) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( 0.5) | 19.79% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.15% ( 0.81) | 51.85% ( -0.81) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.23) | 28.8% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.28) | 64.65% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Valmiera |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.39% |
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