SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valmiera | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
50.41% ( 0.05) | 24.07% ( 0) | 25.52% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.04) | 46.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.04) | 68.65% ( 0.04) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( 0) | 18.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( 0) | 49.6% ( -0) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.06) | 32.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.07) | 68.69% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valmiera | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.52% |
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