SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Barcelona |
39.31% ( -0.08) | 24.17% ( 0) | 36.52% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.01) | 41.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( -0.01) | 64.14% ( 0.01) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.04) | 21.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0.06) | 54.29% ( 0.06) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.04) | 22.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( 0.05) | 56.42% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.52% |
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