Porto may have lost to Gil Vicente in their previous meeting, but we think that it is unlikely that history will repeat itself with the hosts currently enjoying a fine run of form.
After winning four of their five league games, we believe that Porto will showcase their firepower to get the better of a Gil Vicente side who have suffered seven straight defeats on their travels in Primeira Liga.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
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