SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
67.66% ( -0.82) | 18.68% ( 0.32) | 13.65% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.09% ( -0.3) | 39.91% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.73% ( -0.32) | 62.27% ( 0.32) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.16% ( -0.29) | 10.84% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.08% ( -0.65) | 34.92% ( 0.65) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( 0.55) | 41.16% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( 0.48) | 77.7% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.2% Total : 67.66% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.68% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.65% |
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