SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
49.62% ( -0.03) | 23.11% ( 0) | 27.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.36% | 40.63% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( -0) | 63.02% ( -0) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( -0.01) | 16.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.64% ( -0.02) | 46.35% ( 0.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( 0.02) | 27.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( 0.02) | 63.45% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
