SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
72.2% ( 0.06) | 15.83% ( -0.03) | 11.97% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.86% ( 0.06) | 30.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.64% ( 0.07) | 51.36% ( -0.08) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.71% ( 0.03) | 7.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.61% ( 0.07) | 26.39% ( -0.07) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0) | 37.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.03% ( -0) | 73.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.04% Total : 72.2% | 1-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.83% | 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.97% |
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