SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 62.26% | 20.43% ( -0) | 17.31% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.01) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( 0) | 12.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.53% ( 0) | 38.46% ( -0) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( 0.01) | 36.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% ( 0.01) | 73.6% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.62% Total : 62.26% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-1 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.31% |
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