With just three points and one place separating Porto and Braga in the upper echelons of the standings, we anticipate a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in a bid to come out on top.
Braga head into the weekend as the more in-form side and we are tipping them to edge out the hosts and maintain their 100% record away from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
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