It will be fascinating to see how Girona perform this season due to the increase in expectations, but this is a tricky encounter for the Catalan side. Atletico are generally strong at home, and we are backing Simeone's side to record their first victory of the new La Liga campaign.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
