SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.9%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.71%) and 3-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Liverpool |
54.9% ( -0.01) | 19.51% ( -0) | 25.59% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 72.18% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.55% ( 0.02) | 24.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.81% ( 0.02) | 44.19% ( -0.02) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.59% ( 0.01) | 9.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.36% ( 0.01) | 31.64% ( -0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( 0.02) | 20.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.29% ( 0.03) | 52.71% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.96% 4-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.45% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.74% 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0)0-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.59% |
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