SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
24.94% ( 0.36) | 22.62% ( -0.07) | 52.44% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.63% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.64% ( 0.66) | 40.36% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.26% ( 0.68) | 62.73% ( -0.68) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.64) | 29.45% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( 0.78) | 65.45% ( -0.78) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( 0.13) | 15.47% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.66% ( 0.25) | 44.34% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.45% |
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