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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 30.2% and a draw has a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.36%).
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
47.79% ( 0.56) | 22.01% ( -0.42) | 30.2% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 66.5% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( 1.98) | 33.29% ( -1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( 2.23) | 55.06% ( -2.24) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( 0.93) | 14.49% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.52% ( 1.78) | 42.48% ( -1.78) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.89) | 22.23% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( 1.33) | 55.65% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.2% |
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