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Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
P

Utrecht
2 - 5
PSV

Descotte (34' pen.), Horemans (88')
Aaronson (14'), Rodriguez (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saibari (12', 70'), Til (54', 90+1'), Bakayoko (74')
Saibari (7'), Til (31'), Flamingo (57'), Boscagli (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-2 Shakhtar
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

While Utrecht have been excellent this season and managed to hold this opponent to a 1-1 draw at this venue last term, PSV's firepower is hard to overlook, and we feel they will be able to widen the gap between themselves and the chasing pack with a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.65%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
26.69% (-1.614 -1.61) 21.55% (-0.491 -0.49) 51.76% (2.102 2.1)
Both teams to score 65.37% (0.39 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39% (1.104 1.1)33.6% (-1.106 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.58% (1.249 1.25)55.41% (-1.25 -1.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.483 -0.48)24.58% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.681 -0.68)59.07% (0.68 0.68)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (1.064 1.06)13.32% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (2.107 2.11)40.16% (-2.108 -2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 26.69%
    PSV Eindhoven 51.76%
    Draw 21.55%
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-0 @ 3.22% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.69%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 2.06% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.55%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.137 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.27% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.259 0.26)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 3.16% (0.256 0.26)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.211 0.21)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.148 0.15)
3-4 @ 1.04% (0.057 0.06)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, November 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-4 Utrecht
Sunday, November 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-2 Shakhtar
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSV 5-0 Groningen
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-0 Girona
Tuesday, November 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 3-2 PSV
Saturday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 6-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie


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