Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.65%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
26.69% (![]() | 21.55% (![]() | 51.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.39% (![]() | 33.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.58% (![]() | 55.41% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% (![]() | 24.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% (![]() | 59.07% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.68% (![]() | 13.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.83% (![]() | 40.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.5% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.69% | 1-1 @ 9.26% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.34% (![]() 0-2 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.76% |
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