SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.65%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
26.69% ( -1.61) | 21.55% ( -0.49) | 51.76% ( 2.1) |
| Both teams to score 65.37% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.39% ( 1.1) | 33.6% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.58% ( 1.25) | 55.41% ( -1.25) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( -0.48) | 24.58% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( -0.68) | 59.07% ( 0.68) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( 1.06) | 13.32% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% ( 2.11) | 40.16% ( -2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.69% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.76% |
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