SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Real Madrid |
47.14% ( 0.31) | 24.58% ( -0.11) | 28.29% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.35) | 46.56% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.33) | 68.83% ( -0.33) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( 0.27) | 19.83% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( 0.44) | 51.92% ( -0.44) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0.03) | 30.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( 0.04) | 66.32% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 28.29% |
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