SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Rangers |
48.71% ( -0) | 21.33% ( -0) | 29.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.97% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.98% ( 0.02) | 30.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.78% ( 0.03) | 51.22% ( -0.03) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( 0.01) | 12.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.49% ( 0.02) | 39.51% ( -0.02) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0.02) | 20.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( 0.02) | 53.36% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.95% |
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