Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 78.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
78.4% ( -0.07) | 13.26% ( 0.03) | 8.34% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.33% ( 0.03) | 28.67% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.43% ( 0.04) | 49.57% ( -0.03) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.18% ( -0) | 5.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.64% ( -0.02) | 22.37% ( 0.02) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.18% ( 0.13) | 42.82% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.86% ( 0.11) | 79.14% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.76% 5-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 4.68% Total : 78.39% | 1-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.26% | 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 8.34% |
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