SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
65.55% ( 0.17) | 18.4% ( 0.13) | 16.05% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.82% ( -1.31) | 33.17% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.07% ( -1.52) | 54.92% ( 1.52) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( -0.32) | 9.49% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.15% ( -0.76) | 31.85% ( 0.76) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( -1.19) | 33.71% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( -1.32) | 70.36% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.7% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.4% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.05% |
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