Even if Rangers can break the deadlock in front of a bouncing Glasgow crowd, PSV are well-versed in coming from behind and have a significant psychological incentive to right the wrongs of last year.
We would back a fully-fit and goal-happy PSV squad to just about edge this encounter, but fresh fitness concerns may force Bosz's men to accept a draw against Rangers' well-rested big-hitters, which would still leave the Dutch giants in a strong position for their reunion in Eindhoven on August 30.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.