Even if Rangers can break the deadlock in front of a bouncing Glasgow crowd, PSV are well-versed in coming from behind and have a significant psychological incentive to right the wrongs of last year.
We would back a fully-fit and goal-happy PSV squad to just about edge this encounter, but fresh fitness concerns may force Bosz's men to accept a draw against Rangers' well-rested big-hitters, which would still leave the Dutch giants in a strong position for their reunion in Eindhoven on August 30.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
