SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | RB Leipzig |
39.8% ( 1.45) | 22.65% ( -0.55) | 37.54% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 66.71% ( 2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.92% ( 2.8) | 34.07% ( -2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.05% ( 3.1) | 55.94% ( -3.1) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% ( 1.84) | 17.82% ( -1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.43% ( 3.09) | 48.56% ( -3.09) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.81) | 18.82% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( 1.34) | 50.25% ( -1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 4% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.05% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.51)3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.68)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.54% |
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