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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
LL

Red Star
1 - 2
RB Leipzig

Henrichs (81' og.)
Mijailovic (6'), Krasso (28'), Ivanic (52'), Lucic (73'), Olayinka (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simons (8'), Openda (77')
Simakan (49'), Lukeba (56'), Henrichs (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig ought to have learned their lesson about risky plays out from the back following their meeting with Red Star a fortnight ago, and their recent failures domestically should offer the hosts quite the injection of confidence. Quelling Rose's effervescent young attackers is another matter entirely for the Serbian champions, though, and we have faith in Leipzig to rectify their recent defeats and advance to the knockout stages by virtue of a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
39.8% (1.445 1.45) 22.65% (-0.553 -0.55) 37.54% (-0.894 -0.89)
Both teams to score 66.71% (2.149 2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (2.797 2.8)34.07% (-2.798 -2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (3.097 3.1)55.94% (-3.1 -3.1)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (1.844 1.84)17.82% (-1.846 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (3.088 3.09)48.56% (-3.089 -3.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.81 0.81)18.82% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (1.338 1.34)50.25% (-1.34 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 39.8%
    RB Leipzig 37.54%
    Draw 22.65%
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.494 -0.49)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 4% (0.332 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.234 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.234 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.111 0.11)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.558 -0.56)
2-2 @ 6.96% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.237 0.24)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.438 -0.44)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.123 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Young Boys
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Red Star
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Red Star
Wednesday, July 12 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Red Star 2-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Koln
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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