SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
44.49% ( 0.03) | 23.19% ( -0.01) | 32.32% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.26% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.97% ( 0.05) | 38.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.71% ( 0.05) | 60.29% ( -0.05) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.03) | 17.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( 0.05) | 48.03% ( -0.05) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( 0.01) | 23.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( 0.02) | 57.25% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 4% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.32% |
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