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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
YB

Red Star
2 - 2
Young Boys

Ndiaye (35'), Bukari (88')
Ndiaye (18'), Ivanic (45+5'), In-beom (58'), Bukari (65'), Mijailovic (73'), Dragovic (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ugrinic (48'), Itten (61' pen.)
Males (64'), Camara (74'), Niasse (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Red Star
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Young Boys
Saturday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Young Boys

Red Star, who have won one of their three home games in both of their previous two Champions League group appearances, will view Wednesday's fixture as their best opportunity to open their account in Group G. The same can be said for Young Boys, though, and with little to separate these two teams, a closely-fought score draw could be played out in Serbia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawYoung Boys
45.1% (1.754 1.75) 21.97% (-0.346 -0.35) 32.94% (-1.399 -1.4)
Both teams to score 68.2% (0.81999999999999 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.32% (1.274 1.27)31.68% (-1.267 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.81% (1.48 1.48)53.19% (-1.473 -1.47)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19% (1.141 1.14)14.81% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.91% (2.131 2.13)43.09% (-2.123 -2.12)
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (-0.107 -0.11)19.95% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89% (-0.177 -0.18)52.11% (0.185 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 45.1%
    Young Boys 32.94%
    Draw 21.97%
Red Star BelgradeDrawYoung Boys
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.64% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.252 0.25)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.46% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.218 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.14 0.14)
4-3 @ 1.14% (0.087 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 45.1%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-2 @ 7% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.95% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 2.4% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.354 -0.35)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Red Star
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Red Star
Wednesday, July 12 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Red Star 2-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Red Star
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Red Star 4-1 Ferencvaros
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Young Boys
Saturday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 2-1 Young Boys
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 4-1 Lugano
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-3 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Servette 0-1 Young Boys
Sunday, September 3 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League


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