SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Trabzonspor |
43.36% ( -0.19) | 24.85% ( 0.04) | 31.8% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( -0.11) | 46.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( -0.11) | 68.34% ( 0.1) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( -0.13) | 21.27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( -0.2) | 54.2% ( 0.2) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( 0.05) | 27.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( 0.06) | 63.01% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.8% |
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