SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Ferencvaros |
48.15% ( -0.26) | 24.89% ( 0.05) | 26.96% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.06) | 48.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.05) | 70.87% ( 0.06) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( -0.13) | 20.28% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( -0.21) | 52.64% ( 0.22) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( 0.14) | 32.32% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( 0.16) | 68.83% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 26.96% |
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