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Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
MC

Sevilla
0 - 4
Man City


Mir (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Braut Haaland (20', 67'), Foden (58'), Dias (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Barcelona
Saturday, September 3 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 0-2 Manchester City

With a new-look defence already under the cosh due to injuries and their attackers largely failing to fire, Sevilla's European baptism of fire is unlikely to end with home celebrations. City's Premier League title defence may have already hit a couple of snags, but Guardiola's side are a dangerous beast when seeking to bounce back from a disappointment, and a comfortable away win is the only outcome that we can see here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawManchester City
21.89% (-0.23 -0.23) 24.7% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 53.41% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.65% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)52.35% (0.22 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.96% (-0.19 -0.19)74.04% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.35 -0.35)38.76% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (-0.333 -0.33)75.49% (0.33500000000001 0.34)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 21.89%
    Manchester City 53.4%
    Draw 24.69%
SevillaDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.89%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.49% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.24% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Barcelona
Saturday, September 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Real Valladolid
Friday, August 19 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Sevilla
Saturday, July 30 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 6-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Man City
Wednesday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 3-3 Man City
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League


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