SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
43.09% ( -0.17) | 23.46% ( -0) | 33.45% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( 0.06) | 38.91% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.77% ( 0.06) | 61.23% ( -0.07) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( -0.05) | 18.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.37% ( -0.08) | 49.62% ( 0.08) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 0.12) | 23.09% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( 0.18) | 56.93% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.45% |
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