SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Copenhagen had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Copenhagen win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Copenhagen |
69.76% ( 0.19) | 18.45% ( 0.02) | 11.79% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.63) | 43.49% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.62) | 65.89% ( 0.62) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( -0.13) | 11.3% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.07% ( -0.27) | 35.93% ( 0.27) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.77) | 46.43% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.95% ( -0.59) | 82.05% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Copenhagen |
| 2-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.6% Total : 69.75% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.45% | 0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.92% Total : 11.79% |
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