With recent experience of the group stage under their belt and a comprehensive first-round win behind them, Maccabi Haifa can build on their Super Cup success and seize a first-leg lead. In-form forwards should ensure the away side score at least once; putting them in the box seat for next week's return in Israel.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Maccabi Haifa win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheriff Tiraspol in this match.
-0.11) 
0.02) 
