SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 15 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 16 | 9 | 33 |
| 3 | Honka | 15 | 15 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
43.24% ( 0.02) | 24.22% ( -0.01) | 32.54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( 0.03) | 42.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.73% ( 0.03) | 65.26% ( -0.03) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.02) | 20% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( 0.04) | 52.18% ( -0.03) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( 0.01) | 25.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% ( 0.01) | 60.35% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.54% |
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