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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 20, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 2
Plzen

Radulovic (50')
Tenho (5'), Murilo (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chory (6' pen.), Kopic (57')
Bucha (61'), Kopic (76'), Mosquera (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-1 VPS
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Plzen
Tuesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Viktoria Plzen

Despite not being the favourites on paper, HJK Helsinki have enjoyed regular competitive football over the past few weeks, while Viktoria Plzen may be feeling somewhat deflated after an underwhelming end to pre-season. Nevertheless, the importance of Hejda and Kasa's returns to the visitors' backline cannot be understated, and Bilek's side should have what it takes to claim a slender advantage at the Bolt Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawViktoria Plzen
45.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 24.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 30.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (0.052 0.05)44.71% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (0.052 0.05)67.07% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)51.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.043000000000006 0.04)27.87% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.051000000000002 0.05)63.47% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 45.35%
    Viktoria Plzen 30.24%
    Draw 24.4%
HJK HelsinkiDrawViktoria Plzen
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.35%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-1 VPS
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: RFS 2-1 HJK Helsinki (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 RFS
Wednesday, July 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-1 KuPS
Saturday, July 2 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 2-1 HJK Helsinki
Wednesday, June 22 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Oulu
Saturday, June 18 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Plzen
Tuesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 3-0 Plzen
Thursday, August 26 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Plzen 2-0 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, August 19 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Plzen 3-1 New Saints (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, August 12 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: New Saints 4-2 Plzen
Thursday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, July 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League


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