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VL
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
AL

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atalanta

Trigueros (39'), Danjuma (73')
Capoue (55'), Moreno (65'), Pino (71'), Coquelin (76')
Coquelin (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Freuler (6'), Gosens (83')
de Roon (24')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtalanta BC
36.54%28.62%34.84%
Both teams to score 45.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49%60.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38%80.62%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34%31.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92%68.07%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23%32.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68%69.32%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 36.53%
    Atalanta BC 34.83%
    Draw 28.61%
VillarrealDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 6.86%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.83%

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