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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
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Torino
1 - 2
Atalanta

Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Torino had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
25.75%21.93%52.32%
Both teams to score 62.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.67%36.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.54%58.46%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32%26.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07%61.93%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91%14.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.3%41.7%
Score Analysis
    Torino 25.75%
    Atalanta BC 52.32%
    Draw 21.93%
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.43%
1-0 @ 4.97%
2-0 @ 3.28%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 0.94%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 3.76%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.93%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 7.22%
1-3 @ 6.23%
0-3 @ 4.72%
2-3 @ 4.12%
1-4 @ 3.05%
0-4 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 2.02%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 52.32%

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