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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 at 9pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
VL

Atletico
2 - 2
Villarreal

Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
47.02%27.02%25.97%
Both teams to score 46.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35%57.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58%78.42%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46%24.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98%59.02%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06%37.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29%74.71%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 47.02%
    Villarreal 25.97%
    Draw 27.01%
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.97%

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