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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Aston Villa |
37.27% ( 0.52) | 22.75% ( -0.08) | 39.97% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 66.3% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( 0.49) | 34.6% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.54) | 56.55% ( -0.54) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( 0.46) | 19.18% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( 0.75) | 50.85% ( -0.75) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.02) | 17.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( 0.03) | 48.82% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.5% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 39.98% |
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