SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Young Boys win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Atalanta BC |
19.1% ( -0.09) | 21.31% ( -0.08) | 59.59% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( 0.23) | 41.6% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( 0.24) | 64% ( -0.23) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( 0.04) | 35.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( 0.04) | 72.22% ( -0.04) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( 0.13) | 13.59% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.27% ( 0.26) | 40.72% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 19.1% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.59% |
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