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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
M

Atalanta
2 - 0
Monza

Samardzic (70'), Zappacosta (88')
Djimsiti (54'), Kolasinac (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maldini (77'), Caldirola (82'), Valoti (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, October 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Monza

One aberration aside - their 0-0 draw with Celtic - a voracious Atalanta side simply cannot stop scoring, averaging four goals per home game in Serie A. Although Gian Piero Gasperini may choose midweek to make changes amid a hectic schedule, the hosts should still have too much firepower for their visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
71.12% (1.07 1.07) 18% (-0.373 -0.37) 10.88% (-0.697 -0.7)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-0.222 -0.22)43.94% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-0.217 -0.22)66.33% (0.217 0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (0.22199999999999 0.22)11.06% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.59% (0.485 0.48)35.41% (-0.485 -0.48)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.64% (-1.406 -1.41)48.35% (1.405 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (-1.042 -1.04)83.49% (1.041 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.11%
    Monza 10.88%
    Draw 18%
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
2-0 @ 12.96% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 9.52% (0.344 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.24% (0.235 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.81% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.123 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.11%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, October 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Celtic
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Venezia 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-1 Genoa
Saturday, October 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-3 Atalanta
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta
Saturday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Sunday, October 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Monza
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-1 Brescia
Thursday, September 26 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Serie A


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