SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Basel |
30.55% ( 0.16) | 22.61% ( 0.05) | 46.84% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 64.49% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( -0.13) | 36.03% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.87% ( -0.15) | 58.13% ( 0.14) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.03) | 23.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( 0.04) | 57.34% ( -0.04) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.12) | 15.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.96% ( -0.23) | 45.04% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.84% |
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